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Sunday, May 27, 2012

Conference Finals Preview


This will be the third consecutive year the Boston Celtics will face the Miami Heat and LeBron James in the playoffs.  LeBron James and Dwyane Wade each have gotten embarrassed by Boston in their career which is why they celebrated like they won the finals last year after they were finally able to eliminate the Celtics in five games.  Both these teams don’t like each other, both these teams went with the same plan (bring three superstars together), both these teams have horrible benches and both these teams are playing to lose to the eventual champion in the west (sorry but its true).  

James and Wade are playing at a level in which we haven’t seen since they weren’t teammates.  Now that Bosh isn’t there it’s no longer sharing the ball three way’s but it’s just a 2 on 5 basketball game with the two players being the best in the world.  The question that everyone is saying though, can they keep it up?  James left Cleveland so he wouldn’t have to handle the pressure of always going for a 35 point 8 rebound 9 assist game just to win a game.  Now he has to do that every game in these playoffs with Bosh out just for Miami to be in it.  Wade is under the same pressure to perform at a high level in every game.  Miami almost came apart in game 3 against Indiana but survived.  They now face a Boston team that doesn’t ever quit and makes teams work the hard way.

The thing is Boston is playing with so many injuries as well that rest could’ve helped them extremely, instead they had to play seven games against an 8th seed and only get one day off.  Ray Allen needs to be way better than just 9 points a game.  Kevin Garnett will be guarded by either Joel Antony or Ronny Turiaf… He needs to take advantage of that.  Paul Pierce needs to average at least 20 points in this series and maybe keep fouling out with four minutes to go so this guy can take over.

How far the Celtics will go or how many games they’ll win all depends on Rajon Rondo.  Rondo is the Celtics best player and could easily go off for a triple-double in any game.  Last year I think if Rondo wouldn’t have hurt his elbow the Celtics could’ve taken the Heat farther than five games.  He’s healthy and he needs to go off at least four times in this series.  He can’t be afraid to shoot the 20 foot jumper when no one is guarding him.  We all saw how fast the momentum can swing when he starts making jumpers.  If this happens then we’ll see LeBron James on him then that’ll give Paul Pierce an opportunity to go off but it all revolves around how Rondo plays. 

The Matchup:  Dwyane Wade vs Avery Bradley Ray Allen.  I believe this is the series right here.  Avery Bradley’s season ending injury is HUGE because Bradley was the only Celtic that can guard Wade.  Now an injured Ray Allen has to run around on defense and guard a hot shooting Wade.  If Evan Turner was able to score on Allen imagine how Wade does?

The Prediction:  Heat in 6 because Ray Allen retired 2 years ago (Bill Simmons Joke), Pierce is not the same superstar anymore and once again the Avery Bradley factor.  I would’ve said five games but the Celtics always bring out their best against LeBron and Miami so I’ll give them one more game.


It’s time for the playoff matchup that just had to happen.  The two most dominating teams in the playoffs, the new era vs the old era,  the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs.  I believe the Western Conference Finals WILL be better than the NBA Finals (unless Miami plays OKC because of the star power and the storylines, like which Big 3 would you take? Okay, Okay I’m getting a little ahead of myself, that question is for another blog incase that matchup happens but now back to this one.)  These Western Conference Finals are all about the passing of the torch in the west.  The Los Angeles Lakers, Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs are the only western conference teams to appear in the NBA Finals in the last 13 years.  They’ve combined to win 10 titles during the Dirk, Kobe, and Duncan era.  Meanwhile Oklahoma City has already taken out two out of those three teams in these playoffs.  Now they have a chance to take out the third team and that is why I believe the Thunder will win this series.

Durant's game winner over Dallas.
Think about it, this is exactly how the changing of the torch should be passed on.  I’m not going to use the “old age” factor because it’s really starting to get overused that San Antonio is old, (Spurs only have 3 players that are over the age of 32… They’re not old, they’re just really experienced).  I know San Antonio is playing pretty execution, teamwork perfect basketball (18 game win streak... They haven’t lost since April 11! They’ve scored 100 points or more in 16 out of the 18 games), Tim Duncan is playing like he’s still in his prime, Manu Ginobili  is as a reliable 6th man as you can get, everyone is hitting the three point shot like it’s a free throw, they have a ten man rotation, eleven if you count DeJuan Blair’s 8 minutes and Tony Parker is running the show with ease with an MVP type year.  They sound unbeatable right?  Well this is where Kevin Durant comes in.  I wrote in the beginning of the playoffs that this was the time Durant starts to build up his legacy as the best shooter in the game.  And he hasn’t let anyone down (Unless you’re a Mavs or Lakers fan… sigh).  Durant has already hit 3 game winning shots in these playoffs and knows this is not only his time but his team to make a deep run at the title.  He’s already got that “no way we’re losing this game” look (last year he didn’t have it).  And folks he’s only 23 years old! He’s sidekick partner, Russell Westbrook is also 23.  Last but not least the guy that can take over a game by either attacking the rim, shooting free throws or shooting three pointers,  James Harden is the youngest of the three at 22 years old (don’t let the beard fool you).  They’re going to be a threat in the West for the next decade and more.  They’ve been taking strides every year and this year looks to be the one where they make their mark as the best team not only in the Western Conference but the NBA. 

Westbrook and Parker can each score at will against each other
The Matchup:  The guy’s that will have the ball in their hands the most are going to be the most fun to watch when they have to stop each other scoring.  Tony Parker and Russell Westbrook each had a great year this season and thrived with the condensed schedule because they kept playing at a high level the whole time.  Parker sent out a few shots to Westbrook this week saying he’s going to go at him and make him work on defense.  Sure Parker scored 42 points back in February against Westbrook.  But here’s the thing that was a long time ago.  Westbrook has matured and learned the game more.  The advantage I give the Spurs with this matchup is that they were able to contain Chris Paul and they can probably do the same to Westbrook.  Finally, do the Spurs trust Kawhi Leonard guarding Durant in the final minutes of a close game?

The Prediction: Thunder in 6 because Durant will go clutch in the fourth quarter, Harden will have at least one game where he can’t be stopped and the Spurs will eventually go cold from the three point line in one game.  They have to right?

Mini Theory: Another theory that can happen is the Thunder lost the Lakers two years ago, then lost to Dallas last year and with it trending wouldn’t it make since that they lose to San Antonio this year (maybe it’s not their turn yet)  Then next year finally win it all?  Or Durant can slay the last west dragon and rule the kingdom. 

This is what happens when you think too much, you start talking about dragons and kingdoms.   I’ll end the blog now. 

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